BTC planner · historical ranges, not advice

BTC Planner

BTC $77,582 as of last daily close (2026-10-31)

NEXT HALVING
500DAYS
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est. block 1,050,000 · now 974,043 · 570 s per block over the last 2,016 · block data: mempool.space

How bad do dips get?

BTC vs its all-time high · as of last daily close (2026-10-31) −37.8% high $124,659 on 2025-10-06

Since 2017, BTC has been at least this far below its high 3 times before today's fall. It got back to the old high within 12 months (counted from the first day it was this far down) in 1 of 3.

What if you bought at the top?
Move along the chart for any day3363 daily closes since 2017-08-17

This crash vs the last ones

Each crash lined up from the day of its peak, until it got back to that high.

Past crashes bottomed aroundday 364–378
Today we areday 390 · −37.8%
Sample size2 full cycles

If you had bought every week

Every Monday's daily close · fractional · no fees · from the first Monday of the start year

I put in
$50
every week
Weekly buysloading
put inworthworth less than put inlast point = as of last daily close (2026-10-31)
You had put in—
It was worth—
Weeks spent below what you put in—

What if you keep going

—

best replaymiddleworst replayput in
You will have put in—
worst—
middle—
best—

Not a forecast — replays of past stretches.

Is there a good month?

Tap a slice. A longer slice means that month went up in more of its years (each month's own n).

— —
average—
best—
worst—
Each year, up or down

Monthly return = last close of the month vs the last close of the month before; complete months only.

History, not advice. Past cycles are few; treat every number as a small sample. Prices: Binance BTC/USDT daily closes since 2017-08-17; block data: mempool.space.

If history repeats

The rest of November, rebased on today

n=9 past Novembers from this day: 4 ended higher, 5 lower

$40K$60K$80K$100K$120K Nov 1Nov 15Nov 30 $113,019$72,537$48,913
best (2017)$113,019
median$72,537
worst (2018)$48,913

End of November values: each past November scaled so its day-1 close equals today's price. Band = range of all 9; faint lines = each year.

Next: December (n=9 past Decembers from the open: 3 ended higher, 6 lower) — median $75,254 · best $113,930 · worst $62,960

These are historical ranges, not predictions. The worst case is on this chart because it happened.

Halving cycle

30.4 months since the 2024-04-20 halving

30.4 of 47.3 months (the last fully stored cycle's length)

2020–2024 cycle, from 2022-11-22
to next halving+300.2%$310,485
peak after+350.3%$349,364
trough after-0.1%$77,515

Levels = today's price moved by the same %. n=1 cycle.

earlier cycles: insufficient data